Daily market report
Election markets on Friday, July 24, 2026
Republicans ended the day 56% to win the Senate; Democrats ended the day 85% to win the House (Democratic odds up 0.5 points); the biggest move was CA-45 (California), where Democratic odds went from 73% to 83%.
Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days
Biggest moves
| Race | Start of day | End of day | Change (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| CA-45 (California) | D 73% | D 83% | ▲ 9.8 |
| NE-02 (Nebraska) | D 82% | D 87% | ▲ 4.9 |
| WA-07 (Washington) | D 98% | D 94% | ▼ 3.8 |
| NE-01 (Nebraska) | D 16% | D 13% | ▼ 3.4 |
| NY-05 (New York) | D 97% | D 94% | ▼ 3.3 |
| NY-21 (New York) | D 19% | D 22% | ▲ 3.0 |
| CA-44 (California) | D 94% | D 97% | ▲ 2.9 |
| NV-03 (Nevada) | D 85% | D 82% | ▼ 2.8 |
| FL-04 (Florida) | D 21% | D 18% | ▼ 2.8 |
| MA-09 (Massachusetts) | D 94% | D 96% | ▲ 2.7 |
