Daily market report
Election markets on Saturday, July 25, 2026
Republicans ended the day 56% to win the Senate; Democrats ended the day 85% to win the House; the biggest move was Kansas Governor, where Democratic odds went from 29% to 23%.
Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days
Biggest moves
| Race | Start of day | End of day | Change (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas Governor | D 29% | D 23% | ▼ 6.0 |
| MT-01 (Montana) | D 34% | D 38% | ▲ 4.5 |
| NY-04 (New York) | D 84% | D 80% | ▼ 4.1 |
| NV-03 (Nevada) | D 82% | D 86% | ▲ 3.9 |
| FL-13 (Florida) | D 23% | D 27% | ▲ 3.7 |
| FL-12 (Florida) | D 17% | D 21% | ▲ 3.6 |
| MI-01 (Michigan) | D 13% | D 16% | ▲ 3.5 |
| NE-01 (Nebraska) | D 13% | D 16% | ▲ 3.4 |
| MO-02 (Missouri) | D 21% | D 24% | ▲ 3.2 |
| WA-07 (Washington) | D 94% | D 97% | ▲ 3.1 |
