Daily market report

Election markets on Monday, September 7, 2026

Republicans ended the day 51% to win the Senate; Democrats ended the day 85% to win the House; the biggest move was NY-17 (New York), where Democratic odds went from 66% to 52%.

Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days

House controlD 85% · R 15%Democratic odds ▼ 0.1 pts on the daySenate controlD 49% · R 51%Democratic odds unchanged on the day

Biggest moves

RaceStart of dayEnd of dayChange (D)
NY-17 (New York)D 66%D 52%▼ 14.1
OH-09 (Ohio)D 64%D 71%▲ 6.4
PA-07 (Pennsylvania)D 76%D 81%▲ 5.0
GA-12 (Georgia)D 11%D 8%▼ 2.5
OR-05 (Oregon)D 92%D 94%▲ 1.8
MI-05 (Michigan)D 4%D 6%▲ 1.7
Texas GovernorD 19%D 18%▼ 1.7
IN-01 (Indiana)D 96%D 98%▲ 1.7
OH-01 (Ohio)D 88%D 86%▼ 1.6
WA-08 (Washington)D 97%D 98%▲ 1.5
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