Daily market report
Election markets on Monday, September 7, 2026
Republicans ended the day 51% to win the Senate; Democrats ended the day 85% to win the House; the biggest move was NY-17 (New York), where Democratic odds went from 66% to 52%.
Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days
Biggest moves
| Race | Start of day | End of day | Change (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| NY-17 (New York) | D 66% | D 52% | ▼ 14.1 |
| OH-09 (Ohio) | D 64% | D 71% | ▲ 6.4 |
| PA-07 (Pennsylvania) | D 76% | D 81% | ▲ 5.0 |
| GA-12 (Georgia) | D 11% | D 8% | ▼ 2.5 |
| OR-05 (Oregon) | D 92% | D 94% | ▲ 1.8 |
| MI-05 (Michigan) | D 4% | D 6% | ▲ 1.7 |
| Texas Governor | D 19% | D 18% | ▼ 1.7 |
| IN-01 (Indiana) | D 96% | D 98% | ▲ 1.7 |
| OH-01 (Ohio) | D 88% | D 86% | ▼ 1.6 |
| WA-08 (Washington) | D 97% | D 98% | ▲ 1.5 |