Daily market report
Election markets on Sunday, September 6, 2026
Republicans ended the day 51% to win the Senate; Democrats ended the day 85% to win the House (Democratic odds down 0.9 points); the biggest move was AL-02 (Alabama), where Democratic odds went from 24% to 29%.
Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days
Biggest moves
| Race | Start of day | End of day | Change (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| AL-02 (Alabama) | D 24% | D 29% | ▲ 5.1 |
| MI-07 (Michigan) | D 58% | D 53% | ▼ 4.8 |
| IN-01 (Indiana) | D 93% | D 96% | ▲ 3.0 |
| TX-35 (Texas) | D 57% | D 54% | ▼ 2.8 |
| NY-17 (New York) | D 69% | D 66% | ▼ 2.7 |
| GA-12 (Georgia) | D 13% | D 11% | ▼ 2.5 |
| MI-05 (Michigan) | D 6% | D 4% | ▼ 2.3 |
| TX-32 (Texas) | D 22% | D 20% | ▼ 2.0 |
| ND-AL (North Dakota) | D 4% | D 2% | ▼ 1.9 |
| FL-09 (Florida) | D 36% | D 35% | ▼ 1.9 |
