Daily market report
Election markets on Tuesday, September 8, 2026
Republicans ended the day 50% to win the Senate; Democrats ended the day 86% to win the House; the biggest move was NY-17 (New York), where Democratic odds went from 52% to 66%.
Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days
Biggest moves
| Race | Start of day | End of day | Change (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| NY-17 (New York) | D 52% | D 66% | ▲ 14.3 |
| NJ-07 (New Jersey) | D 82% | D 70% | ▼ 12.2 |
| FL-25 (Florida) | D 70% | D 79% | ▲ 9.3 |
| TX-28 (Texas) | D 84% | D 76% | ▼ 8.0 |
| OH-09 (Ohio) | D 71% | D 63% | ▼ 7.8 |
| IA-01 (Iowa) | D 77% | D 69% | ▼ 7.7 |
| MO-05 (Missouri) | D 79% | D 72% | ▼ 6.7 |
| NY-19 (New York) | D 93% | D 98% | ▲ 5.1 |
| GA-01 (Georgia) | D 11% | D 7% | ▼ 4.7 |
| CO-04 (Colorado) | D 36% | D 32% | ▼ 3.6 |
