Daily market report
Election markets on Saturday, September 12, 2026
Democrats ended the day 51% to win the Senate and 86% to win the House; the biggest move was NE-01 (Nebraska), where Democratic odds went from 14% to 18%.
Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days
Biggest moves
| Race | Start of day | End of day | Change (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| NE-01 (Nebraska) | D 14% | D 18% | ▲ 4.4 |
| FL-25 (Florida) | D 74% | D 70% | ▼ 4.0 |
| Nevada Governor | D 45% | D 48% | ▲ 3.9 |
| MO-02 (Missouri) | D 40% | D 37% | ▼ 3.5 |
| NE-02 (Nebraska) | D 90% | D 93% | ▲ 2.9 |
| PA-07 (Pennsylvania) | D 67% | D 70% | ▲ 2.6 |
| IA-01 (Iowa) | D 73% | D 75% | ▲ 2.5 |
| CO-04 (Colorado) | D 31% | D 33% | ▲ 2.5 |
| TX-32 (Texas) | D 15% | D 13% | ▼ 2.4 |
| TX-28 (Texas) | D 79% | D 82% | ▲ 2.3 |
