Daily market report
Election markets on Sunday, September 13, 2026
Democrats ended the day 51% to win the Senate and 86% to win the House; the biggest move was NE-01 (Nebraska), where Democratic odds went from 18% to 14%.
Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days
Biggest moves
| Race | Start of day | End of day | Change (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| NE-01 (Nebraska) | D 18% | D 14% | ▼ 4.2 |
| FL-08 (Florida) | D 7% | D 3% | ▼ 3.8 |
| PA-01 (Pennsylvania) | D 42% | D 39% | ▼ 3.2 |
| Michigan Senate | D 63% | D 60% | ▼ 2.8 |
| TX-09 (Texas) | D 15% | D 12% | ▼ 2.7 |
| TX-23 (Texas) | D 30% | D 33% | ▲ 2.7 |
| TX-25 (Texas) | D 8% | D 6% | ▼ 2.4 |
| FL-09 (Florida) | D 34% | D 36% | ▲ 2.4 |
| TX-35 (Texas) | D 57% | D 59% | ▲ 2.1 |
| MO-02 (Missouri) | D 37% | D 39% | ▲ 2.1 |
