Daily market report
Election markets on Monday, September 14, 2026
Democrats ended the day 52% to win the Senate (Democratic odds up 1.7 points) and 86% to win the House; the biggest move was PA-07 (Pennsylvania), where Democratic odds went from 69% to 74%.
Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days
Biggest moves
| Race | Start of day | End of day | Change (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| PA-07 (Pennsylvania) | D 69% | D 74% | ▲ 4.8 |
| CO-08 (Colorado) | D 80% | D 76% | ▼ 4.1 |
| NJ-07 (New Jersey) | D 77% | D 80% | ▲ 3.4 |
| NC-10 (North Carolina) | D 7% | D 3% | ▼ 3.4 |
| OH-09 (Ohio) | D 70% | D 73% | ▲ 3.1 |
| MO-02 (Missouri) | D 39% | D 36% | ▼ 3.0 |
| NE-01 (Nebraska) | D 14% | D 11% | ▼ 3.0 |
| Oregon Governor | D 84% | D 87% | ▲ 2.8 |
| TX-28 (Texas) | D 81% | D 84% | ▲ 2.7 |
| TX-26 (Texas) | D 6% | D 3% | ▼ 2.7 |
