Daily market report
Election markets on Friday, September 11, 2026
Democrats ended the day 50% to win the Senate and 86% to win the House; the biggest move was PA-07 (Pennsylvania), where Democratic odds went from 79% to 67%.
Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days
Biggest moves
| Race | Start of day | End of day | Change (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| PA-07 (Pennsylvania) | D 79% | D 67% | ▼ 11.9 |
| Iowa Senate | D 34% | D 39% | ▲ 5.1 |
| FL-25 (Florida) | D 79% | D 74% | ▼ 5.0 |
| NV-03 (Nevada) | D 91% | D 95% | ▲ 4.1 |
| PA-01 (Pennsylvania) | D 44% | D 40% | ▼ 4.0 |
| IA-01 (Iowa) | D 70% | D 73% | ▲ 3.1 |
| SC-02 (South Carolina) | D 9% | D 6% | ▼ 2.9 |
| TN-09 (Tennessee) | D 12% | D 10% | ▼ 2.7 |
| OH-09 (Ohio) | D 67% | D 70% | ▲ 2.6 |
| MO-02 (Missouri) | D 43% | D 40% | ▼ 2.6 |
