Daily market report
Election markets on Thursday, September 10, 2026
Republicans ended the day 50% to win the Senate; Democrats ended the day 86% to win the House; the biggest move was MO-05 (Missouri), where Democratic odds went from 54% to 95%.
Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days
Biggest moves
| Race | Start of day | End of day | Change (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| MO-05 (Missouri) | D 54% | D 95% | ▲ 40.2 |
| MO-02 (Missouri) | D 31% | D 43% | ▲ 11.8 |
| NY-17 (New York) | D 65% | D 62% | ▼ 3.7 |
| OH-09 (Ohio) | D 64% | D 67% | ▲ 3.5 |
| NJ-07 (New Jersey) | D 72% | D 75% | ▲ 3.2 |
| Oregon Governor | D 88% | D 84% | ▼ 3.1 |
| Nevada Governor | D 40% | D 43% | ▲ 3.0 |
| WA-05 (Washington) | D 20% | D 17% | ▼ 2.7 |
| OH-01 (Ohio) | D 89% | D 86% | ▼ 2.7 |
| TX-23 (Texas) | D 31% | D 28% | ▼ 2.6 |
