Kalshi
California's 23rd District margin of victory
California's 23rd District
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Obernolte, 2+ pts at 88%, ahead of Obernolte, 5+ pts at 76%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $200 in all.
- Favorite
- Obernolte, 2+ pts 88%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $200
- Closes
- November 3, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 9)
- Obernolte, 2+ pts88%
- Obernolte, 5+ pts76%
- Obernolte, 8+ pts64%
- Obernolte, 11+ pts52%
- Obernolte, 14+ pts40%
- Obernolte, 17+ pts29%
3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%10:38 AM10:38 PM10:38 AM88% Obernolte, 2+ pts
The line follows the current favorite, Obernolte, 2+ pts. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.