Kalshi

California's 23rd District margin of victory

California's 23rd District

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Obernolte, 2+ pts at 88%, ahead of Obernolte, 5+ pts at 76%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $200 in all.

Favorite
Obernolte, 2+ pts 88%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$0
Traded in all
$200
Closes
November 3, 2027

Every outcome (top 6 of 9)

  1. Obernolte, 2+ pts88%
  2. Obernolte, 5+ pts76%
  3. Obernolte, 8+ pts64%
  4. Obernolte, 11+ pts52%
  5. Obernolte, 14+ pts40%
  6. Obernolte, 17+ pts29%

3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%10:38 AM10:38 PM10:38 AM88% Obernolte, 2+ pts

The line follows the current favorite, Obernolte, 2+ pts. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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