Polymarket
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor December 31 at 3%, ahead of October 31 at 1%. $207K traded in the last 24 hours, $71.7M in all.
- Favorite
- December 31 3%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $207K
- Traded in all
- $71.7M
- Closes
- January 1, 2027
Every outcome
- December 313%
- October 311%
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%9:14 AM9:14 PM9:14 AM3% December 31
The line follows the current favorite, December 31. One reading an hour.
Embed these odds on your site
Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.
See this market on Polymarket →
More more politics markets
- Maine-Texas Senate ComboJames Talarico and Troy Jackson 45%
- How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?230-233 18%
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/28 - 10/4)Above 150 96%
- How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?Above 52 35%
- Michigan Senate winner? (Person)Abdul El-Sayed 73%
- Which leaders will leave office in 2026?Christopher Luxon 46%
- Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 9, 2026?James Talarico 85%
- Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?30%
Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
