Kalshi
Which leaders will leave office in 2026?
Before Jan 1, 2027
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Christopher Luxon at 46%, ahead of Benjamin Netanyahu at 45%. $15K traded in the last 24 hours, $3.6M in all.
- Favorite
- Christopher Luxon 46%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $15K
- Traded in all
- $3.6M
- Closes
- January 1, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 34)
- Christopher Luxon46%
- Benjamin Netanyahu45%▼ 2
- Pedro Sánchez38%▲ 14
- Sébastien Lecornu21%
- Friedrich Merz14%▼ 1
- Miguel Díaz-Canel12%▲ 2
28 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%7:42 AM7:42 PM7:42 AM46% Christopher Luxon
The line follows the current favorite, Christopher Luxon. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
