Kalshi
California's 33rd District margin of victory
California's 33rd District
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Aguilar, 17+ pts at 75%, ahead of Aguilar, 20+ pts at 50%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $0 in all.
- Favorite
- Aguilar, 17+ pts 75%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $0
- Closes
- November 3, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 9)
- Aguilar, 17+ pts75%
- Aguilar, 20+ pts50%
- Aguilar, 23+ pts41%
- Aguilar, 26+ pts32%
- Aguilar, 29+ pts23%
- Aguilar, 32+ pts14%
3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%7:07 AM7:07 PM7:07 AM75% Aguilar, 17+ pts
The line follows the current favorite, Aguilar, 17+ pts. One reading an hour.
Embed these odds on your site
Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.
More more politics markets
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?December 31 3%
- Maine-Texas Senate ComboJames Talarico and Troy Jackson 45%
- How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?230-233 18%
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/28 - 10/4)Above 150 96%
- Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?30%
- How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?Above 52 35%
- Michigan Senate winner? (Person)Abdul El-Sayed 73%
- Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 9, 2026?James Talarico 85%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
