Kalshi
California's 42nd District margin of victory
California's 42nd District
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Garcia, 20+ pts at 87%, ahead of Garcia, 23+ pts at 75%. $400 traded in the last 24 hours, $444 in all.
- Favorite
- Garcia, 20+ pts 87%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $400
- Traded in all
- $444
- Closes
- November 3, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 9)
- Garcia, 20+ pts87%
- Garcia, 23+ pts75%
- Garcia, 26+ pts67%
- Garcia, 14+ pts50%
- Garcia, 17+ pts49%
- Garcia, 29+ pts49%
3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%5:28 AM5:28 PM5:28 AM87% Garcia, 20+ pts
The line follows the current favorite, Garcia, 20+ pts. One reading an hour.
Embed these odds on your site
Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.
More more politics markets
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?December 31 3%
- Maine-Texas Senate ComboJames Talarico and Troy Jackson 45%
- How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?230-233 18%
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/28 - 10/4)Above 150 96%
- Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?30%
- Michigan Senate winner? (Person)Abdul El-Sayed 73%
- How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?Above 52 35%
- Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 9, 2026?James Talarico 85%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.