Kalshi
California's 45th District margin of victory
California's 45th District
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Tran, 4+ pts at 88%, ahead of Tran, 7+ pts at 76%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $201 in all.
- Favorite
- Tran, 4+ pts 88%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $201
- Closes
- November 3, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 9)
- Tran, 4+ pts88%
- Tran, 7+ pts76%
- Tran, 10+ pts63%
- Tran, 13+ pts51%
- Tran, 16+ pts42%
- Tran, 19+ pts30%
3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%5:24 AM5:24 PM5:24 AM88% Tran, 4+ pts
The line follows the current favorite, Tran, 4+ pts. One reading an hour.
Embed these odds on your site
Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.
More more politics markets
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?December 31 3%
- Maine-Texas Senate ComboJames Talarico and Troy Jackson 45%
- How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?230-233 18%
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/28 - 10/4)Above 150 96%
- Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?30%
- Michigan Senate winner? (Person)Abdul El-Sayed 73%
- How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?Above 52 35%
- Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 9, 2026?James Talarico 85%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
