Kalshi
California's 4th District margin of victory
In 2026
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Mike Thompson, 5+ pts at 55%, ahead of Mike Thompson, 10+ pts at 36%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $218 in all.
- Favorite
- Mike Thompson, 5+ pts 55%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $218
- Closes
- November 3, 2027
Every outcome
- Mike Thompson, 5+ pts55%
- Mike Thompson, 10+ pts36%
- Mike Thompson, 15+ pts16%
- Mike Thompson, 20+ pts5%
- Mike Thompson, 25+ pts4%
- Mike Thompson, 30+ pts3%
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%7:07 AM7:07 PM7:07 AM55% Mike Thompson, 5+ pts
The line follows the current favorite, Mike Thompson, 5+ pts. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
