Kalshi

California's 52nd District margin of victory

California's 52nd District

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Vargas, 24+ pts at 80%, ahead of Vargas, 27+ pts at 60%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $400 in all.

Favorite
Vargas, 24+ pts 80%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$0
Traded in all
$400
Closes
November 3, 2027

Every outcome (top 6 of 9)

  1. Vargas, 24+ pts80%
  2. Vargas, 27+ pts60%
  3. Vargas, 30+ pts51%
  4. Vargas, 33+ pts41%
  5. Vargas, 36+ pts24%
  6. Vargas, 39+ pts7%

3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%8:13 AM8:13 PM8:13 AM80% Vargas, 24+ pts

The line follows the current favorite, Vargas, 24+ pts. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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