Kalshi

Closest Senate race in 2026?

Before Jan 3, 2027

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Iowa at 18%, ahead of Texas at 13%. $9K traded in the last 24 hours, $688K in all.

Favorite
Iowa 18%
24 hours
down 2 pts
Traded today
$9K
Traded in all
$688K
Closes
January 3, 2027

Every outcome (top 6 of 20)

  1. Iowa18%▼ 2
  2. Texas13%▼ 4
  3. Kansas10%
  4. Maine9%
  5. Ohio8%
  6. Nebraska8%▲ 1

14 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%5:25 AM5:25 PM5:25 AM18% Iowa

The line follows the current favorite, Iowa. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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