Polymarket
Fed Decision in December?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor 25 bps increase at 72%, ahead of No change at 26%. $29K traded in the last 24 hours, $2.6M in all.
- Favorite
- 25 bps increase 72%
- 24 hours
- down 2 pts
- Traded today
- $29K
- Traded in all
- $2.6M
- Closes
- December 10, 2026
Every outcome
- 25 bps increase72%▼ 2
- No change26%▲ 1
- 50+ bps increase4%▲ 2
- 25 bps decrease1%
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%3:33 AM3:33 PM3:33 AM72% 25 bps increase
The line follows the current favorite, 25 bps increase. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.