Polymarket

Fed Decision in December?

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor 25 bps increase at 72%, ahead of No change at 26%. $29K traded in the last 24 hours, $2.6M in all.

Favorite
25 bps increase 72%
24 hours
down 2 pts
Traded today
$29K
Traded in all
$2.6M
Closes
December 10, 2026

Every outcome

  1. 25 bps increase72%▼ 2
  2. No change26%▲ 1
  3. 50+ bps increase4%▲ 2
  4. 25 bps decrease1%
  5. 50+ bps decrease<1%

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%3:33 AM3:33 PM3:33 AM72% 25 bps increase

The line follows the current favorite, 25 bps increase. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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