Kalshi
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 5, 2026?
On Oct 5, 2026
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor 38.2% at 31%, ahead of 38.1% at 23%. $79K traded in the last 24 hours, $79K in all.
- Favorite
- 38.2% 31%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $79K
- Traded in all
- $79K
- Closes
- October 5, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 9)
- 38.2%31%
- 38.1%23%
- 38.3%23%
- 38.0%14%
- 37.9%7%
- Below 37.9%6%
3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%6:05 AM6:05 PM6:05 AM31% 38.2%
The line follows the current favorite, 38.2%. One reading an hour.
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More trump and the white house markets
- Fed Decision in October?No change 84%
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?5%
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?Anna Kelly 21%
- Fed Decision in December?25 bps increase 72%
- Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/4-10/10)160-179 22%
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?3%
- Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?Before Jan 1, 2027 36%
- How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (9/28-10/4) 7 >99%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
