Polymarket

Fed Decision in October?

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor No change at 84%, ahead of 25 bps increase at 17%. $584K traded in the last 24 hours, $25.3M in all.

Favorite
No change 84%
24 hours
up 1 pts
Traded today
$584K
Traded in all
$25.3M
Closes
October 29, 2026

Every outcome

  1. No change84%▲ 1
  2. 25 bps increase17%▼ 1
  3. 25 bps decrease<1%
  4. 50+ bps increase<1%
  5. 50+ bps decrease<1%

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%3:33 AM3:33 PM3:33 AM84% No change

The line follows the current favorite, No change. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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