Kalshi
How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?
after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Above 30 at 23%, ahead of Above 40 at 23%. $131 traded in the last 24 hours, $189K in all.
- Favorite
- Above 30 23%
- 24 hours
- up 2 pts
- Traded today
- $131
- Traded in all
- $189K
- Closes
- January 5, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Above 3023%▲ 2
- Above 4023%
- Above 5014%
- Above 6012%▼ 3
- Above 708%
- Above 805%
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%2:47 PM2:47 AM2:47 PM23% Above 30
The line follows the current favorite, Above 30. One reading an hour.
Embed these odds on your site
Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.
More more politics markets
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?December 31 3%
- Maine-Texas Senate ComboJames Talarico and Troy Jackson 46%
- How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?230-233 18%
- How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?Above 52 36%
- USS George Washington departs CENTCOM by...?December 31 74%
- Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?October 2 96%
- Blue wave in 2026?86%
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/28 - 10/4)Above 150 96%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.