Kalshi

How many Senate seats will Independents win in the Midterms?

of the 35 seats up in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections, based on media calls

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor At least 1 at 25%, ahead of At least 2 at 8%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $25K in all.

Favorite
At least 1 25%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$0
Traded in all
$25K
Closes
January 3, 2027

Every outcome

  1. At least 125%
  2. At least 28%
  3. At least 33%

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%10:38 AM10:38 PM10:38 AM25% At least 1

The line follows the current favorite, At least 1. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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