Kalshi
How many votes will be cast early in the Midterms?
As of Nov 4, 2026
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor At least 42 million at 95%, ahead of At least 45 million at 91%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $27 in all.
- Favorite
- At least 42 million 95%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $27
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 7)
- At least 42 million95%
- At least 45 million91%
- At least 48 million86%
- At least 51 million73%
- At least 54 million60%
- At least 57 million48%
1 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%3:38 AM3:38 PM3:38 AM95% At least 42 million
The line follows the current favorite, At least 42 million. One reading an hour.
Embed these odds on your site
Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.
More more politics markets
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?December 31 3%
- Maine-Texas Senate ComboJames Talarico and Troy Jackson 45%
- How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?230-233 18%
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/28 - 10/4)Above 150 96%
- Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?30%
- Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?September 30 97%
- Michigan Senate winner? (Person)Abdul El-Sayed 73%
- How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?Above 52 35%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.