Polymarket
Lima Mayoral Election Winner
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Rafael López Aliaga at 92%, ahead of Francis James Allison Oyague at 9%. $90K traded in the last 24 hours, $463K in all.
- Favorite
- Rafael López Aliaga 92%
- 24 hours
- up 1 pts
- Traded today
- $90K
- Traded in all
- $463K
- Closes
- October 5, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 23)
- Rafael López Aliaga92%▲ 1
- Francis James Allison Oyague9%▲ 5
- Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca1%▼ 1
- Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli<1%
- Santiago Rosendo Abarca León<1%
- Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo<1%
17 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%2:40 AM2:40 PM2:40 AM92% Rafael López Aliaga
The line follows the current favorite, Rafael López Aliaga. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
