What are the odds for "California Governor winner? (Person)"?

As of October 4, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Xavier Becerra at 97%, ahead of Steve Hilton at 4%. $171K traded in the last 24 hours, $15.7M in all.

What are the odds for "Lima Mayoral Election Winner"?

As of October 4, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Rafael López Aliaga at 95%, ahead of Francis James Allison Oyague at 4%. $68K traded in the last 24 hours, $413K in all.

What are the odds for "Bulgaria Presidential Election"?

As of October 4, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Iliana Iotova at 86%, ahead of Аndrey Gyurov at 11%. $60K traded in the last 24 hours, $995K in all.

What are the odds for "2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)"?

As of October 4, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Democrats, 8 to 10% at 28%, ahead of Democrats, 10 to 12% at 21%. $23K traded in the last 24 hours, $2.0M in all.

What are the odds for "British Columbia general election: 3rd place"?

As of October 4, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor BC Greens at 98%, ahead of CentreBC at 1%. $19K traded in the last 24 hours, $35K in all.

What are the odds for "2026 Montgomery County Judge Election Winner"?

As of October 4, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Mark Keough at 96%, ahead of James Graf at 3%. $14K traded in the last 24 hours, $48K in all.

As of October 4, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Rafael López Aliaga at 93%, ahead of Francis Allison at 6%. $7K traded in the last 24 hours, $57K in all.

Mayor, governor and other election odds on Kalshi and Polymarket

Q: Los Angeles Mayor winner?

As of October 4, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Nithya Raman at 62%, ahead of Karen Bass at 39%. $51K traded in the last 24 hours, $35.8M in all.

Q: Next French presidential election winner?

As of October 4, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Marine Le Pen at 50%, ahead of Édouard Philippe at 19%. $9K traded in the last 24 hours, $438K in all.

Q: Taipei mayoral election winner?

As of October 4, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Chiang Wan-an at 75%, ahead of Shen Bo-yang at 25%. $6K traded in the last 24 hours, $57K in all.

Kalshi

California Governor winner? (Person)

In 2026

Xavier Becerra97%
Steve Hilton4%

$171K today
$15.7M all time · ends Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket▲ 2 pts

Lima Mayoral Election Winner

Rafael López Aliaga95%
Francis James Allison Oyague4%
Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca2%
Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli<1%
+19 more

$68K today
$413K all time · ends Oct 5, 2026

Polymarket▲ 1 pts

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Iliana Iotova86%
Аndrey Gyurov11%
Nikolai Denkov<1%
Blagomir Kotsev<1%
+10 more

$60K today
$995K all time · ends Oct 26, 2026

Kalshi

Los Angeles Mayor winner?

In 2026

Nithya Raman62%
Karen Bass39%

$51K today
$35.8M all time · ends Jun 2, 2027

Kalshi▼ 1 pts

2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)

At the release of the national House popular vote data

Democrats, 8 to 10%28%
Democrats, 10 to 12%21%
Democrats, 6 to 8%19%
Democrats, 12 to 14%10%
+6 more

$23K today
$2.0M all time · ends Nov 3, 2027

Kalshi▲ 15 pts

British Columbia general election: 3rd place

On Oct 24, 2026

BC Greens98%
CentreBC1%
BC NDP1%
BC Conservatives1%
+1 more

$19K today
$35K all time · ends Oct 24, 2027

Polymarket▲ 1 pts

2026 Montgomery County Judge Election Winner

Mark Keough96%
James Graf3%

$14K today
$48K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Next French presidential election winner?

In 2027

Marine Le Pen50%
Édouard Philippe19%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon12%
David Lisnard11%
+25 more

$9K today
$438K all time · ends May 30, 2028

Kalshi

Lima Mayor winner?

in 2026

Rafael López Aliaga93%
Francis Allison6%
Carlos Bruce4%
Susel Paredes3%
+7 more

$7K today
$57K all time · ends Oct 4, 2027

Kalshi▼ 3 pts

Taipei mayoral election winner?

In 2026

Chiang Wan-an75%
Shen Bo-yang25%
Kuo Hsi1%
Hsiao Wen-kan1%
+2 more

$6K today
$57K all time · ends Nov 28, 2027

Kalshi▲ 17 pts

Bahia Governor winner?

in 2026

Jerônimo Rodrigues82%
ACM Neto21%
Ariel Capistrano1%
Aroldo Felix1%
+2 more

$6K today
$21K all time · ends Oct 4, 2027

Kalshi▼ 1 pts

Michigan Governor-Senate combo

Before Nov 2026

Jocelyn Benson and Abdul El-Sayed win75%
Jocelyn Benson and Mike Rogers win15%
John James and Mike Rogers win7%
John James and Abdul El-Sayed win2%

$4K today
$66K all time · ends Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola73%
Sen. Dan Sullivan28%
Ann Diener<1%
Dustin Darden<1%
+3 more

$4K today
$1.1M all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi▲ 1 pts

Minnesota Governor-Senate combo

Before Nov 2026

Amy Klobuchar and Peggy Flanagan win89%
Amy Klobuchar and Michele Tafoya win10%
Lisa Demuth and Michele Tafoya win4%
Lisa Demuth and Peggy Flanagan win1%

$4K today
$49K all time · ends Nov 3, 2027

Kalshi▲ 8 pts

Ceará gubernatorial election winner?

in 2026

Elmano de Freitas75%
Ciro Gomes41%
Eduardo Girão1%

$4K today
$38K all time · ends Oct 4, 2027

Kalshi

Providence Mayor winner?

In 2026

David Morales99%
Brett Smiley2%
Michael English1%
Allen Waters1%

$3K today
$252K all time · ends Nov 3, 2027

Kalshi▲ 20 pts

Kaohsiung mayoral election winner?

November 28, 2026

Lai Jui-lung68%
Ko Chih-en32%
Zhang Jing4%

$3K today
$20K all time · ends Nov 28, 2027

Polymarket▲ 6 pts

TX-35 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 3-6%23%
Democrat 0-3%20%
Republican 0-3%15%
Republican 3-6%13%
+6 more

$3K today
$9K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▲ 5 pts

MI-11 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 25-30%28%
Democrat 30-35%21%
Democrat 20-25%15%
Democrat 10-15%14%
+5 more

$3K today
$14K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi▲ 6 pts

Texas Governor margin of victory

Texas Governor

Abbott, 3+ pts56%
Abbott, 6+ pts24%
Abbott, 9+ pts12%
Abbott, 12+ pts7%
+3 more

$3K today
$41K all time · ends Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket

CA-12 House Election Winner (Individual)

Lateefah Simon95%
Jamie Joyce3%

$3K today
$6K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi▲ 3 pts

Georgia Governor margin of victory

Georgia Governor

Jackson, 2+ pts42%
Jackson, 5+ pts17%
Jackson, 8+ pts12%
Jackson, 11+ pts5%

$3K today
$11K all time · ends Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket▼ 11 pts

Saudi troops enter Marib Governorate by...?

December 3118%
October 3111%

$3K today
$12K all time · ends Jan 1, 2027

Kalshi▲ 9 pts

Kansas Governor-Senate combo

Before Nov 2026

Ty Masterson and Roger Marshall win48%
Cindy Holscher and Adam Hamilton win20%
Ty Masterson and Adam Hamilton win20%
Cindy Holscher and Roger Marshall win7%

$2K today
$52K all time · ends Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket▼ 3 pts

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Nithya Raman60%
Karen Bass39%

$2K today
$14.9M all time · ends Jun 3, 2026

Kalshi▼ 12 pts

Rio Grande do Norte Governor winner?

in 2026

Allyson60%
Cadu de Lula35%
Alvaro Dias2%
Dário Barbosa1%
+5 more

$2K today
$23K all time · ends Oct 4, 2027

Kalshi▼ 1 pts

Ohio Governor-Senate combo

Before Nov 2026

Amy Acton and Sherrod Brown win54%
Vivek Ramaswamy and Jon Husted win28%
Amy Acton and Jon Husted win12%
Vivek Ramaswamy and Sherrod Brown win12%

$2K today
$34K all time · ends Nov 3, 2027

Kalshi

Texas Governor-Senate combo

Before Nov 2026

Greg Abbott and James Talarico win43%
Greg Abbott and Ken Paxton win39%
Gina Hinojosa and James Talarico win23%
Gina Hinojosa and Ken Paxton win1%

$2K today
$24K all time · ends Nov 3, 2027

Kalshi▼ 1 pts

Texas Lieutenant Governor winner?

In 2026

Dan Patrick67%
Vikki Goodwin36%

$2K today
$30K all time · ends Nov 3, 2027

Kalshi▲ 35 pts

Pernambuco Governor winner?

In 2026

Raquel Lyra82%
João Campos35%
Professora Camila2%
Professor Jeremias do Banco2%
+4 more

$2K today
$14K all time · ends Oct 25, 2027

Polymarket▲ 3 pts

2026 Bexar County Judge Election Winner

Ron Nirenberg98%
Patrick Von Dohlen3%

$2K today
$18K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi▲ 17 pts

Acre Governor winner?

in 2026

Mailza Assis67%
Alan Rick37%
Dr. Luisinho1%
Eudo Raffael1%
+2 more

$2K today
$5K all time · ends Oct 4, 2027

Kalshi▼ 2 pts

New Taipei mayoral election winner?

November 28, 2026

Lee Shu-chuan55%
Su Chiao-hui46%

$2K today
$13K all time · ends Nov 28, 2027

Polymarket▼ 5 pts

Texas Senate Election: Denton County Winner

James Talarico (D)54%
Ken Paxton (R)45%

$2K today
$5K all time · ends Nov 3, 2026

Polymarket

Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)81%
Green Party (MP)73%
Centre Party (C)45%
Left Party (V)25%
+5 more

$2K today
$224K all time · ends Sep 14, 2026

Polymarket▲ 11 pts

CO-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-3%22%
Democrat 0-3%22%
Republican 6-9%17%
Republican 12%+14%
+6 more

$2K today
$8K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Chicago Mayor winner?

In 2027

Alexi Giannoulias63%
Brandon Johnson18%
Susana Mendoza15%
Matt Brewer6%
+13 more

$2K today
$130K all time · ends Feb 23, 2028

Polymarket▼ 4 pts

MD-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 80-85%31%
Democrat 85-90%25%
Democrat 75-80%22%
Democrat 70-75%10%
+6 more

$2K today
$21K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket

Which Senate races will be within 5%?

Texas76%
Iowa72%
Kansas68%
Nebraska67%
+14 more

$1K today
$86K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi▲ 22 pts

Pará Governor winner?

in 2026

Dr. Daniel62%
Hana Ghassan47%
Araceli1%
Gal Leite1%
+2 more

$1K today
$3K all time · ends Oct 4, 2027

Polymarket▲ 1 pts

Texas Railroad Commissioner Election Winner

Jon Rosenthal (D)55%
Bo French (R)45%

$1K today
$9K all time · ends Nov 3, 2026

Polymarket▲ 1 pts

Virginia Senate Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 21%+49%
Democrat 18-21%20%
Democrat 15-18%13%
Democrat 12-15%5%
+6 more

$1K today
$10K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Florida Senate election: Ashley Moody vote percent

Vote Percent - Ashley Moody

At least 48%97%
At least 50%86%
At least 52%75%
At least 54%32%
+4 more

$1K today
$3K all time · ends Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket▲ 5 pts

FL-27 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 6-9%22%
Republican 3-6%17%
Republican 0-3%14%
Republican 12-15%14%
+6 more

$1K today
$10K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▲ 3 pts

TN-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 9-12%31%
Republican 15-18%20%
Republican 12-15%17%
Republican 6-9%16%
+6 more

$1K today
$7K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▲ 27 pts

Cusco Mayoral Election Winner

Eulogio Tapia Deza43%
Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar31%
Gabriela Paliza Romero24%
William Peña Farfán13%
+10 more

$1K today
$25K all time · ends Oct 5, 2026

Polymarket▼ 2 pts

WI-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 0-3%24%
Democrat 6-9%18%
Republican 0-3%15%
Democrat 3-6%13%
+6 more

$1K today
$10K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▼ 4 pts

Arequipa Mayoral Election Winner

Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes43%
Alfredo Willy Benavente Godoy23%
Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera8%
Lizbeth Zavala Vilca8%
+16 more

$1K today
$24K all time · ends Oct 5, 2026

Polymarket

Next Serbia Presidential Election Winner

Miloš Vučević35%
Vladan Đokić22%
Ana Brnabić21%
Đuro Macut13%
+13 more

$1K today
$62K all time · ends May 2, 2027

Kalshi

Will the US ban diesel exports before Election Day?

Before Nov 3, 2026

4%chance of Yes

$1K today
$130K all time · ends Nov 3, 2026

Kalshi▲ 14 pts

Paraná Governor winner?

in 2026

Sergio Moro83%
Sandro Alex13%
Requião Filho2%
Adriano Funileiro1%
+4 more

$1K today
$17K all time · ends Oct 4, 2027

Polymarket▲ 4 pts

TX-32 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 6-9%19%
Republican 12-15%19%
Republican 9-12%15%
Republican 3-6%11%
+6 more

$1K today
$5K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▼ 4 pts

MA-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 35-40%28%
Democrat 30-35%26%
Democrat 40-45%17%
Democrat 25-30%11%
+6 more

$999 today
$18K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▼ 5 pts

KY-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 30-35%34%
Democrat 25-30%28%
Democrat 35-40%17%
Democrat 20-25%7%
+6 more

$995 today
$12K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▼ 2 pts

Nebraska Senate Election Margin of Victory

Independent 0-3%21%
Republican 0-3%21%
Republican 3-6%20%
Independent 3%+12%
+6 more

$993 today
$8K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▼ 0 pts

Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?

PSD + PNL + UDMR14%
PSD + UDMR12%
PSD + PNL6%
PSD + PNL + USR6%
+28 more

$992 today
$38K all time · ends Jan 1, 2028

Polymarket▲ 2 pts

Nevada Governor Election Margin of Victory

Ford 0-3%25%
Lombardo 0-3%24%
Ford 3-6%18%
Lombardo 3-6%14%
+6 more

$983 today
$10K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi▲ 6 pts

Rio de Janeiro Governor winner?

in 2026

Eduardo Paes82%
Douglas Ruas24%
Anthony Garotinho17%
Wilson Witzel1%

$981 today
$12K all time · ends Oct 4, 2027

Polymarket▼ 0 pts

MO-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 3%+95%
Republican 0-3%3%
Democrat 0-3%2%
Republican 12-15%<1%
+6 more

$977 today
$60K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▼ 1 pts

Pennsylvania Governor Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 25-30%30%
Democrat 20-25%27%
Democrat 30%+23%
Democrat 15-20%17%
+4 more

$956 today
$10K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi▲ 12 pts

Rio Grande do Sul Governor winner?

in 2026

Luciano Lorenzini Zucco96%
Juliana Brizola3%
Gabriel Vieira de Souza2%
Priscila Voigt Severiano1%
+3 more

$948 today
$13K all time · ends Oct 4, 2027

Polymarket▲ 1 pts

NY-18 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 25-30%24%
Democrat 20-25%24%
Democrat 15-20%18%
Democrat 30-35%14%
+5 more

$903 today
$15K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▼ 2 pts

MT-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%39%
Republican 20-25%24%
Republican 25-30%18%
Republican 40%+9%
+5 more

$884 today
$10K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi▼ 12 pts

When will Serbia call its presidential election?

Serbian presidential election

Before Nov 1, 202640%
Before Oct 15, 20265%

$867 today
$9K all time · ends Oct 15, 2026

Polymarket▲ 1 pts

TN-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 25-30%28%
Republican 20-25%23%
Republican 30-35%17%
Republican 15-20%11%
+6 more

$854 today
$12K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▲ 1 pts

KY-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-3%22%
Republican 3-6%18%
Democrat 0-3%16%
Republican 6-9%11%
+6 more

$845 today
$11K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▼ 1 pts

PA-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 3-6%27%
Democrat 6-9%18%
Democrat 0-3%17%
Democrat 12-15%11%
+6 more

$840 today
$12K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket

Colorado Governor Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 25-30%32%
Democrat 20-25%28%
Democrat 30-35%19%
Democrat 15-20%14%
+6 more

$836 today
$19K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi▼ 15 pts

Quebec general election: 4th place

On Oct 5, 2026

Coalition avenir Québec (CAQ)41%
Conservative Party of Québec36%
Québec solidaire6%
Quebec Liberal Party2%
+1 more

$817 today
$24K all time · ends Oct 5, 2027

Polymarket

MS-02 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Democrat 30-35%32%
Democrat 20-25%22%
Democrat 25-30%21%
Democrat 35-40%17%
+6 more

$807 today
$14K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi▲ 2 pts

Florida Governor margin of victory

Florida Governor

Donalds, 3+ pts58%
Donalds, 6+ pts39%
Donalds, 9+ pts24%
Donalds, 12+ pts11%
+2 more

$805 today
$28K all time · ends Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket▼ 2 pts

IA-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 9-12%22%
Democrat 6-9%21%
Democrat 3-6%19%
Republican 0-3%16%
+6 more

$800 today
$9K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▼ 2 pts

MI-09 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%31%
Republican 25-30%30%
Republican 30-35%22%
Republican 45%+8%
+6 more

$782 today
$11K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▼ 3 pts

WI-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%31%
Republican 5-10%26%
Republican 15-20%20%
Republican 0-5%10%
+4 more

$767 today
$10K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Tim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota?

Before 2027

5%chance of Yes

$763 today
$1.2M all time · ends Jan 2, 2027

Kalshi

Lexington mayoral election winner?

In 2026

Linda Gorton79%
Raquel Carter19%

$756 today
$4K all time · ends Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket▼ 2 pts

FL-20 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 45-50%32%
Democrat 50-55%18%
Democrat 55-60%14%
Democrat 35-40%13%
+6 more

$748 today
$19K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▲ 1 pts

South Carolina Senate Election: Turnout

1.6M-1.8M44%
1.8M-2M34%
2M-2.2M18%
<1.4M4%
+2 more

$744 today
$8K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▼ 10 pts

First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Governor Election?

69%chance of Yes

$727 today
$4K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)

Vote Percent - Bernadette Wilson

At least 16%97%
At least 18%97%
At least 20%96%
At least 22%94%
+5 more

$720 today
$6K all time · ends Nov 3, 2027

Kalshi▲ 4 pts

Michigan Senate election: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent

Vote Percent - Abdul El-Sayed

At least 44%96%
At least 46%91%
At least 48%69%
At least 50%42%
+4 more

$720 today
$1K all time · ends Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket▲ 18 pts

Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Željko Komšić20%
Denis Bećirović17%
Denis Zvizdić12%
Elmedin Konaković11%
+14 more

$701 today
$119K all time · ends Aug 1, 2028

Kalshi▲ 5 pts

Holborn and St Pancras by-election winner?

In 2026

Labour Party85%
Green Party14%
Reform UK1%
Liberal Democrats1%
+1 more

$700 today
$19K all time · ends Dec 31, 2027

Kalshi

Quebec general election: PLQ number of seats?

On Oct 5, 2026

28 or more97%
29 or more96%
31 or more92%
30 or more70%
+6 more

$700 today
$5K all time · ends Oct 5, 2027

Polymarket▼ 1 pts

Ohio Senate Election: Turnout

4.65M-4.8M27%
4.8M-4.95M21%
4.5M-4.65M19%
<3.9M9%
+6 more

$692 today
$26K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket

OK-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 35-40%25%
Republican 30-35%22%
Republican 40-45%17%
Republican 25-30%7%
+6 more

$667 today
$10K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

New York Governor margin of victory

New York Governor

Hochul, 4+ pts95%
Hochul, 7+ pts91%
Hochul, 10+ pts82%
Hochul, 13+ pts70%
+5 more

$664 today
$23K all time · ends Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket▼ 17 pts

KY-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%31%
Republican 25-30%21%
Republican 15-20%14%
Republican 30-35%10%
+6 more

$663 today
$17K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▲ 6 pts

NY-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 45-50%29%
Democrat 50-55%27%
Democrat 55-60%26%
Democrat 40-45%12%
+6 more

$649 today
$14K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▼ 4 pts

Iowa Senate and Governor Combo

Dems sweep42%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate37%
Reps sweep15%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate2%

$647 today
$18K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi▲ 4 pts

São Paulo Federal Senate election winners?

in 2026

André do Prado95%
Guilherme Derrite95%
Simone Tebet4%
Marina Silva4%
+3 more

$642 today
$3K all time · ends Oct 4, 2027

Polymarket▲ 5 pts

Rhode Island Senate Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 30%+61%
Democrat 25-30%20%
Democrat 20-25%9%
Democrat 15-20%7%
+4 more

$641 today
$9K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▲ 1 pts

Next Mayor of Johannesburg?

Helen Zille67%
Frank Chikane8%
Lukhona Mnguni6%
Herman Mashaba3%
+4 more

$633 today
$119K all time · ends Jul 1, 2027

Kalshi

Alaska Governor-Senate combo

Before Nov 2026

Democrats sweep65%
Republicans sweep19%
Democratic Governor, Republican Senator14%
Republican Governor, Democratic Senator8%

$633 today
$70K all time · ends Nov 3, 2027

Kalshi

How many Governors will lose reelection in 2026?

2026 elections

Exactly 133%
Exactly 228%
Exactly 314%
Exactly 413%
+2 more

$628 today
$16K all time · ends Dec 31, 2026

Polymarket▲ 1 pts

TX-28 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 9-12%24%
Democrat 6-9%18%
Democrat 3-6%14%
Republican 0-3%12%
+6 more

$626 today
$8K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket

TX-11 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 25-30%29%
Republican 20-25%26%
Republican 15-20%18%
Republican 30-35%16%
+6 more

$623 today
$13K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▲ 7 pts

New Hampshire Senate Election: Turnout

650K-700K45%
600K-650K24%
700K-750K22%
800K+5%
+4 more

$621 today
$11K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▼ 1 pts

Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?

PSD82%
UDMR74%
PNL42%
AUR24%
+2 more

$617 today
$39K all time · ends Jan 1, 2028

Kalshi

CO-06 House election: Patty McMahon vote percent

Vote Percent - Patty McMahon

At least 1%61%
At least 2%48%
At least 3%44%
At least 4%5%
+3 more

$607 today
$1K all time · ends Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket▼ 2 pts

Ohio Senate Election: Mahoning County Winner

Sherrod Brown (D)56%
Jon Husted (R)33%

$604 today
$1K all time · ends Nov 3, 2026

Polymarket▼ 2 pts

TX-34 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 3-6%22%
Democrat 6-9%18%
Democrat 12%+17%
Democrat 0-3%13%
+6 more

$596 today
$9K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▲ 6 pts

IA-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 9-12%21%
Democrat 6-9%20%
Democrat 3-6%17%
Democrat 0-3%14%
+6 more

$592 today
$11K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket

South Dakota Senate Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%30%
Republican 0-10%25%
Republican 15-20%18%
Republican 20-25%10%
+6 more

$591 today
$17K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▲ 2 pts

2026 El Paso County Judge Election Winner

Ricardo Samaniego95%
Minerva Torres Shelton5%

$590 today
$32K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▲ 2 pts

Texas Governor Election Margin of Victory

Abbott 0-3%21%
Abbott 3-6%20%
Hinojosa 0-3%17%
Abbott 6-9%14%
+6 more

$590 today
$6K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▲ 7 pts

CO-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 50-55%34%
Democrat 55-60%29%
Democrat 45-50%16%
Democrat 40-45%9%
+6 more

$588 today
$13K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▲ 1 pts

Iowa Governor Election Margin of Victory

Sand 6-9%25%
Sand 12%+19%
Sand 3-6%16%
Sand 9-12%14%
+6 more

$586 today
$10K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▲ 4 pts

Next Mayor of Olomouc

Miroslava Ferancová78%
Marek Zelenka11%
Lucie Tungul7%
Jan Vašíř6%
+3 more

$577 today
$6K all time · ends Oct 10, 2026

Polymarket▲ 3 pts

Louisiana Senate Election: Turnout

1.4M-1.5M34%
1.5M-1.6M28%
1.3M-1.4M19%
1.7M+11%
+4 more

$574 today
$14K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▼ 5 pts

NJ-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 20-25%31%
Democrat 25-30%31%
Democrat 15-20%17%
Democrat 5-10%10%
+5 more

$569 today
$15K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▲ 1 pts

AZ-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-3%28%
Republican 3-6%19%
Republican 6-9%18%
Democrat 0-3%16%
+6 more

$562 today
$8K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▲ 1 pts

IL-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 65-70%33%
Democrat 70-75%25%
Democrat 60-65%17%
Democrat 75-80%11%
+6 more

$560 today
$9K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Tennessee Governor election: Marsha Blackburn vote percent

Vote Percent - Marsha Blackburn

At least 52%92%
At least 54%59%
At least 56%37%
At least 58%20%
+6 more

$559 today
$2K all time · ends Nov 3, 2027

Kalshi

Minnesota Governor margin of victory

Minnesota Governor

Klobuchar, 2+ pts94%
Klobuchar, 5+ pts84%
Klobuchar, 8+ pts72%
Klobuchar, 11+ pts53%
+5 more

$551 today
$23K all time · ends Nov 3, 2027

Kalshi

Quebec National Assembly election winner?

in 2026

PQ94%
PLQ4%
CAQ2%
QS1%
+1 more

$550 today
$56K all time · ends Oct 5, 2027

Polymarket▲ 6 pts

PA-13 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 30-35%28%
Republican 40-45%24%
Republican 35-40%18%
Republican 15-25%14%
+6 more

$544 today
$14K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▲ 12 pts

Trenčín Mayoral Election Winner

Ján Forgáč66%
Miloš Mičega32%
Danica Birošová31%
Anton Kysel1%
+1 more

$524 today
$7K all time · ends Oct 25, 2026

Polymarket▼ 0 pts

Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

VAT federal decree62%
War Material amendment52%
Fireworks restriction initiative19%
Marriage taxation initiative13%

$518 today
$13K all time · ends Nov 29, 2026

Polymarket▲ 2 pts

MN-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 55-60%23%
Democrat 60-65%21%
Democrat 65-70%20%
Democrat 50-55%13%
+6 more

$517 today
$13K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket

AR-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%26%
Republican 20-25%23%
Republican 10-15%17%
Republican 25-30%14%
+5 more

$514 today
$9K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▼ 2 pts

WI-08 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 9-12%27%
Republican 6-9%21%
Republican 12-15%16%
Republican 3-6%13%
+6 more

$510 today
$18K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Alaska Senate election margin of victory

On Jun 2, 2026

Mary Peltola, 0-3%21%
Dan Sullivan, 0-3%20%
Mary Peltola, 3-6%19%
Mary Peltola, 6-9%13%
+6 more

$501 today
$62K all time · ends Jun 2, 2027

Polymarket

2026 Harris County Judge Election Winner

Letitia Plummer87%
Orlando Sanchez11%

$498 today
$27K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▼ 14 pts

OH-12 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%34%
Republican 15-20%25%
Republican 10-15%11%
Republican 25-30%11%
+5 more

$493 today
$14K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▼ 2 pts

MD-08 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 60-65%32%
Democrat 65-70%26%
Democrat 55-60%13%
Democrat 70-75%11%
+6 more

$488 today
$14K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▼ 6 pts

Minnesota Senate Election: Turnout

2.75M-2.9M34%
2.9M-3.05M27%
2.6M-2.75M23%
2.45M-2.6M8%
+5 more

$488 today
$4K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▲ 1 pts

Texas Senate and Governor Combo

Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate47%
Reps sweep28%
Dems sweep23%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate3%

$477 today
$11K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▼ 3 pts

Next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem

Tomáš Hrubý56%
Tomáš Vohryzka41%
Richard Matiašek1%
Radim Bzura1%
+2 more

$471 today
$14K all time · ends Jun 30, 2027

Polymarket▲ 2 pts

GA-06 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Democrat 60-65%33%
Democrat 55-60%32%
Democrat 50-55%12%
Democrat 45-50%7%
+6 more

$470 today
$14K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Iowa Governor margin of victory

Iowa Governor

Lahn, 3+ pts10%
Lahn, 6+ pts5%
Lahn, 9+ pts4%

$469 today
$8K all time · ends Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket

TX-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%30%
Republican 10-15%26%
Republican 20-25%20%
Republican 25-30%13%
+5 more

$462 today
$11K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▼ 1 pts

IL-10 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 35-40%28%
Democrat 30-35%21%
Democrat 25-30%15%
Democrat 40-45%15%
+6 more

$459 today
$14K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket

2026 Fulton County Commission Chair Election Winner

Mo Ivory96%
Eric J. Tatum4%

$456 today
$28K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▼ 11 pts

Kansas Senate and Governor Combo

Reps sweep47%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate29%
Dems sweep19%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate3%

$454 today
$18K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket

IA-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 3-6%19%
Republican 0-3%18%
Democrat 0-3%16%
Republican 6-9%14%
+6 more

$453 today
$12K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▼ 10 pts

Next Mayor of Liberec

Lukáš Hájek37%
Tomáš Rec22%
Jiří Veselka13%
Tibor Batthyány10%
+4 more

$448 today
$7K all time · ends Oct 10, 2026

Polymarket▲ 2 pts

Mississippi Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Republican 5-10%25%
Republican 10-15%20%
Republican 0-5%18%
Republican 15-20%9%
+4 more

$445 today
$7K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▲ 1 pts

NC-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 6-9%22%
Republican 9-12%20%
Republican 3-6%17%
Republican 18%+14%
+6 more

$444 today
$8K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket

NC-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 55-60%32%
Democrat 50-55%25%
Democrat 60%+22%
Democrat 45-50%8%
+6 more

$443 today
$14K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▲ 14 pts

Trujillo Mayoral Election Winner

Mario Colberth Reyna Rodríguez51%
Víctor Robert De La Cruz Rosas42%
Roy Charlie Arbaiza Corcuera12%
Víctor Julio León Álvarez7%
+12 more

$439 today
$31K all time · ends Oct 5, 2026

Polymarket▼ 4 pts

OH-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 25-30%24%
Republican 35-40%23%
Republican 30-35%20%
Republican 40-45%14%
+6 more

$438 today
$13K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi▲ 30 pts

Republika Srpska presidential election winner?

October 4, 2026

Savo Minic97%
Branko Blanusa34%
Bogdan Jovanovic1%
Camil Durakovic1%
+8 more

$434 today
$34K all time · ends Oct 4, 2027

Polymarket▲ 1 pts

South Dakota Governor Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%32%
Republican 25-30%26%
Republican 15-20%21%
Republican 10-15%10%
+6 more

$430 today
$11K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi▲ 3 pts

Ohio Governor margin of victory

Ohio Governor

Acton, 3+ pts47%
Acton, 6+ pts30%
Acton, 9+ pts14%
Acton, 12+ pts8%

$428 today
$16K all time · ends Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket▲ 16 pts

NJ-11 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 15-20%34%
Democrat 20-25%28%
Democrat 30-35%16%
Democrat 25-30%12%
+5 more

$425 today
$4K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▼ 3 pts

2026 Henderson Mayoral Election Winner

Michelle Romero82%
Hollie Chadwick14%

$418 today
$9K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▲ 1 pts

CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)

Doris Matsui59%
Mai Vang41%

$417 today
$21K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▼ 1 pts

Katsina, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

Umaru Dikko Radda80%
Garba Yakubu Lado12%

$417 today
$16K all time · ends Feb 7, 2027

Polymarket▲ 5 pts

TX-22 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%28%
Republican 10-15%26%
Republican 5-10%24%
Republican 20-25%22%
+5 more

$416 today
$6K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi▲ 1 pts

Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman)

On Nov 3, 2026

Nithya Raman, ≥4%60%
Nithya Raman, ≥2%59%
Nithya Raman, ≥6%50%
Nithya Raman, ≥8%41%
+1 more

$413 today
$6K all time · ends Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket

Hawaii Governor Election: Turnout

370K-400K31%
400K-430K19%
430K-460K19%
340K-370K17%
+4 more

$410 today
$16K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▲ 7 pts

Next Mayor of Mangaung (Bloemfontein)?

Werner Pretorius38%
Vusimuzi Soqaga25%
Lulaman Oditi-Titi19%
Bongani Mathae12%
+6 more

$409 today
$47K all time · ends Nov 5, 2026

Polymarket▲ 2 pts

TX-17 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%28%
Republican 15-20%27%
Republican 5-10%22%
Republican 20-25%9%
+4 more

$403 today
$7K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

LA-02 House election: Troy Carter vote percent (1st Round)

Vote Percent - Troy Carter

At least 70%86%
At least 72%76%
At least 74%60%
At least 76%43%
+5 more

$400 today
$6K all time · ends Nov 3, 2027

Kalshi

Georgia Senate election: Mike Collins vote percent (1st Round)

Vote Percent - Mike Collins

At least 38%98%
At least 40%97%
At least 42%86%
At least 44%54%
+4 more

$400 today
$2K all time · ends Nov 3, 2027

Kalshi

California 04 House General Election: voter turnout

California 04 House General Election

Above 180K77%
Above 190K68%
Above 230K64%
Above 200K58%
+6 more

$400 today
$2K all time · ends Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket▼ 10 pts

OK-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%24%
Republican 25-30%20%
Republican 30-35%18%
Republican 15-20%15%
+6 more

$394 today
$14K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▲ 4 pts

Georgia Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)

4.2M-4.4M45%
4M-4.2M32%
4.4M-4.6M15%
4.8M+5%
+4 more

$394 today
$8K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▲ 7 pts

CO-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-3%23%
Republican 3-6%20%
Democrat 0-3%20%
Republican 12%+13%
+6 more

$388 today
$15K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election: 2nd place?

On Oct 4, 2026

SNSD77%
SDP9%
SDA5%
NiP4%
+21 more

$383 today
$103K all time · ends Oct 4, 2027

Polymarket▼ 1 pts

NJ-12 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 35-40%31%
Democrat 30-35%24%
Democrat 40-45%20%
Democrat 45%+14%
+6 more

$383 today
$9K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi▼ 18 pts

Serbian parliamentary election winner?

in 2026

SNS-led list72%
Student list32%

$378 today
$7K all time · ends Jun 30, 2027

Polymarket▼ 0 pts

GOP Black vote share?

10–11%27%
12–13%19%
8–9%15%
<8%8%
+3 more

$377 today
$3K all time · ends Nov 7, 2026

Polymarket

PA-15 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 30-35%31%
Republican 35-40%26%
Republican 25-30%22%
Republican 40-45%14%
+6 more

$376 today
$12K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket

NY-23 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%30%
Republican 20-25%24%
Republican 15-20%18%
Republican 25-30%16%
+5 more

$373 today
$8K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▲ 2 pts

Senate Three-Way Combo: Texas, Michigan, Maine

Dems sweep45%
Dems TX & MI, Reps ME21%
Reps sweep20%
Reps TX & ME, Dems MI16%
+4 more

$373 today
$5K all time · ends Nov 3, 2026

Polymarket▲ 4 pts

FL-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%32%
Republican 15-20%24%
Republican 10-15%19%
Republican 5-10%12%
+5 more

$371 today
$6K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▼ 2 pts

2026 Williamson County Judge Election Winner

Heather Jefts70%
Steven Snell25%

$370 today
$19K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▲ 1 pts

MN-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-3%19%
Republican 12-15%16%
Democrat 0-3%15%
Republican 3-6%15%
+6 more

$368 today
$8K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▲ 6 pts

TX-23 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 3-6%18%
Republican 12%+16%
Republican 0-3%14%
Democrat 0-3%14%
+6 more

$367 today
$6K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▼ 3 pts

AL-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 60-65%28%
Republican 50-55%19%
Republican 55-60%19%
Republican 45-50%11%
+6 more

$366 today
$18K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▼ 4 pts

NC-12 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 55-60%38%
Democrat 50-55%25%
Democrat 45-50%13%
Democrat 60-65%12%
+6 more

$366 today
$11K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▲ 4 pts

IL-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 40-45%29%
Democrat 45-50%28%
Democrat 35-40%24%
Democrat 50-55%18%
+6 more

$365 today
$13K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi▲ 1 pts

Chief Minister of the Isle of Man after their election?

Before Sep 24, 2027

Chris Thomas37%
Alfred Cannan28%
Jane Poole-Wilson24%
Rob Callister9%
+6 more

$364 today
$40K all time · ends Sep 24, 2027

Polymarket▼ 2 pts

NJ-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 3-6%20%
Democrat 6-9%19%
Democrat 9-12%15%
Democrat 0-3%11%
+6 more

$364 today
$16K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▲ 1 pts

UT-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%27%
Republican 15-20%24%
Republican 30-35%14%
Republican 25-30%13%
+6 more

$364 today
$14K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▲ 1 pts

Texas Lieutenant Governor Election Winner

Dan Patrick (R)72%
Vikki Goodwin (D)30%

$362 today
$8K all time · ends Nov 3, 2026

Kalshi▼ 2 pts

Henderson mayoral election winner?

In 2026

Michelle Romero88%
Hollie Chadwick12%

$360 today
$1K all time · ends Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket▼ 7 pts

New York Governor Election: Nassau County Winner

Bruce Blakeman (R)56%
Kathy Hochul (D)33%

$359 today
$24K all time · ends Nov 3, 2026

Polymarket▼ 1 pts

MO-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 60-65%20%
Democrat 65-70%18%
Democrat 45-50%14%
Democrat 55-60%13%
+6 more

$358 today
$11K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▲ 3 pts

Florida Senate Election: Miami-Dade County Winner

Angie Nixon (D)52%
Ashley Moody (R)49%

$358 today
$6K all time · ends Nov 3, 2026

Kalshi

Texas Senate election: Ken Paxton vote percent

Vote Percent - Ken Paxton

At least 42%97%
At least 44%92%
At least 46%78%
At least 48%51%
+4 more

$357 today
$2K all time · ends Nov 3, 2027

Kalshi▲ 3 pts

LA Mayor - CA Governor Combo

Before Nov 2026

Nithya Raman and Xavier Becerra66%
Karen Bass and Xavier Becerra31%
Karen Bass and Steve Hilton2%
Nithya Raman and Steve Hilton2%

$356 today
$34K all time · ends Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket▼ 1 pts

Ohio Senate Election Margin of Victory

Brown 3-6%30%
Brown 6-9%21%
Brown 0-3%21%
Husted 0-3%17%
+6 more

$355 today
$9K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▲ 6 pts

2026 North Las Vegas Mayoral Election Winner

Daniele Monroe-Moreno81%
Scott Black17%

$355 today
$7K all time · ends Jun 10, 2026

Polymarket▼ 4 pts

South Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory

Graham 0-5%33%
Graham 5-10%25%
Graham 10-15%20%
Andrews Wins16%
+4 more

$354 today
$7K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi▲ 27 pts

Georgia Governor-Senate combo

Before Nov 2026

Rick Jackson and Jon Ossoff win51%
Keisha Lance Bottoms and Jon Ossoff win47%
Rick Jackson and Mike Collins win4%
Keisha Lance Bottoms and Mike Collins win1%

$353 today
$84K all time · ends Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket

Dems' best tossup Senate race?

Michigan42%
Texas20%
Maine15%
Ohio 14%
+2 more

$353 today
$6K all time · ends Nov 3, 2026

Polymarket▼ 0 pts

OR-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 50-55%34%
Democrat 55-60%22%
Democrat 45-50%21%
Democrat 40-45%9%
+6 more

$352 today
$16K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▼ 6 pts

Maine Senate and Governor Combo

Dems sweep55%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate41%
Reps sweep4%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate<1%

$351 today
$20K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▲ 5 pts

California Governor Election: Fresno County Winner

Steve Hilton65%
Xavier Becerra28%

$351 today
$11K all time · ends Nov 3, 2026

Kalshi

Oregon Governor margin of victory

Oregon Governor

Kotek, 2+ pts67%
Kotek, 5+ pts40%
Kotek, 8+ pts24%
Kotek, 11+ pts11%
+5 more

$343 today
$6K all time · ends Nov 3, 2027

Kalshi

Georgia: Which elections will be won outright?

Nov 3, 2026

Commissioner of Agriculture93%
Commissioner of Insurance92%
Senate92%
Lieutenant Governor92%
+5 more

$338 today
$41K all time · ends Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket▲ 1 pts

MO-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 35-40%28%
Republican 30-35%28%
Republican 25-30%17%
Republican 40-45%17%
+6 more

$337 today
$11K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▼ 7 pts

São Tomé and Príncipe Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

ADI90%
MLSTP1%
MDFM<1%
Basta<1%
+3 more

$330 today
$18K all time · ends Sep 28, 2026

Polymarket▼ 5 pts

Wyoming Senate Election: Turnout

190K-210K44%
210K-230K40%
230K-250K9%
250K+9%
+3 more

$330 today
$7K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi▲ 9 pts

Minnesota Senate General Election: voter turnout

Minnesota Senate General Election

Above 2.20M89%
Above 2.40M82%
Above 2.60M54%
Above 2.80M32%
+6 more

$330 today
$4K all time · ends Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket

AR-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 30-35%28%
Republican 35-40%22%
Republican 25-30%20%
Republican 40-45%18%
+6 more

$327 today
$14K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▼ 0 pts

IL-08 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 25-30%34%
Democrat 20-25%30%
Democrat 15-20%13%
Democrat 35%+11%
+5 more

$322 today
$13K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▼ 1 pts

TX-37 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 60-65%22%
Democrat 55-60%19%
Democrat 65-70%18%
Democrat 45-50%13%
+6 more

$321 today
$9K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▲ 4 pts

MO-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%21%
Republican 10-15%21%
Republican 25-30%15%
Republican 5-10%15%
+4 more

$320 today
$11K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▲ 1 pts

AZ-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 35-40%32%
Democrat 30-35%32%
Democrat 40-45%16%
Democrat 25-30%14%
+6 more

$320 today
$11K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi▲ 1 pts

Toronto mayoral election winner?

In 2026

Olivia Chow90%
Brad Bradford9%
Anthony Furey2%
John Tory2%
+1 more

$319 today
$24K all time · ends Oct 26, 2027

Polymarket▲ 5 pts

OK-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%31%
Republican 15-20%26%
Republican 5-10%25%
Republican 0-5%10%
+4 more

$318 today
$6K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

in 2026

Elif Eralp78%
Stefan Evers20%
Kristin Brinker2%
Werner Graf1%
+1 more

$317 today
$35K all time · ends Oct 1, 2027

Polymarket▲ 1 pts

North Carolina Senate Election: Turnout

4.1M-4.3M32%
3.9M-4.1M24%
4.3M-4.5M16%
3.7M-3.9M15%
+4 more

$317 today
$14K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket

VA-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 45-50%27%
Democrat 55%+23%
Democrat 50-55%21%
Democrat 40-45%12%
+6 more

$315 today
$28K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket

Michigan Governor Election Margin of Victory

Benson 6-9%20%
Benson 9-12%19%
Benson 12-15%17%
Benson 3-6%12%
+6 more

$315 today
$10K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▼ 0 pts

Idaho Senate Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%24%
Republican 20-25%17%
Republican 10-15%16%
Republican 0-5%13%
+7 more

$312 today
$10K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▲ 5 pts

Next Mayor of Ostrava

Richard Vereš68%
Jan Dohnal23%
Matěj Gregor2%
Aleš Boháč1%
+5 more

$312 today
$9K all time · ends Oct 10, 2026

Polymarket▲ 4 pts

CT-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 30-35%32%
Democrat 35-40%30%
Democrat 40-45%19%
Democrat 25-30%13%
+6 more

$310 today
$14K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▼ 5 pts

Next Mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay (Port Elizabeth)?

Retief Odendaal39%
Andile Lungisa36%
Sinawo Thambo6%
Xolani Vela6%
+5 more

$307 today
$30K all time · ends Nov 5, 2026

Polymarket▲ 5 pts

NJ-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 6-9%23%
Republican 9-12%23%
Republican 3-6%21%
Republican 12-15%13%
+6 more

$306 today
$6K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▼ 2 pts

FL-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 6-9%24%
Republican 9-12%24%
Republican 3-6%19%
Republican 12-15%13%
+6 more

$305 today
$12K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▼ 1 pts

Tennessee Governor Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%24%
Republican 10-15%23%
Republican 5-10%17%
Republican 20-25%16%
+6 more

$304 today
$7K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▲ 14 pts

Which Senate races will be within 1%?

Michigan24%
Iowa19%
Texas17%
Maine16%
+13 more

$301 today
$13K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▼ 4 pts

Virginia Senate Election: Turnout

3.5M-3.75M39%
3.25M-3.5M24%
2.5M-2.75M15%
2.75M-3M10%
+4 more

$301 today
$6K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket

Martin Mayoral Election Winner

Michal Uherčík49%
Ján Danko45%
Renáta Habrunová4%
Pavol Zemko4%
+5 more

$300 today
$16K all time · ends Oct 25, 2026

Kalshi

Colorado Governor election: Phil Weiser vote percent

Vote Percent - Phil Weiser

At least 54%98%
At least 56%96%
At least 58%93%
At least 60%81%
+6 more

$300 today
$2K all time · ends Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket

PA-10 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 3-6%22%
Democrat 0-3%19%
Democrat 6-9%16%
Democrat 12-15%16%
+6 more

$299 today
$10K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▲ 4 pts

VA-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 20-25%28%
Democrat 10-15%26%
Democrat 15-20%25%
Democrat 25%+21%
+4 more

$298 today
$6K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▲ 1 pts

Maine Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)

700K-750K32%
750K-800K25%
650K-700K15%
800K-850K13%
+4 more

$292 today
$11K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▼ 1 pts

MI-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%35%
Republican 25-30%24%
Republican 20-25%23%
Republican 10-15%11%
+5 more

$290 today
$17K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▼ 4 pts

TN-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 45-50%26%
Republican 50-55%24%
Republican 40-45%23%
Republican 55-60%10%
+6 more

$290 today
$14K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▲ 2 pts

CO-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 30-35%30%
Democrat 35-40%28%
Democrat 25-30%16%
Democrat 20-25%10%
+6 more

$289 today
$18K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▼ 1 pts

Georgia Senate and Governor Combo

Dems sweep50%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate48%
Reps sweep4%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate1%

$288 today
$11K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▼ 2 pts

Next President of Kosovo?

Bekim Sejdiu27%
Vjosa Osmani16%
Albulena Haxhiu6%
Lumir Abdixhiku5%
+10 more

$286 today
$27K all time · ends May 1, 2027

Kalshi▲ 1 pts

Iowa Governor margin of victory

Iowa Governor

Sand, 3+ pts71%
Sand, 6+ pts52%
Sand, 9+ pts32%
Sand, 12+ pts14%
+1 more

$284 today
$27K all time · ends Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket▲ 2 pts

TX-25 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%30%
Republican 5-10%23%
Republican 15-20%22%
Republican 20-25%16%
+4 more

$283 today
$9K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket

SD-AL House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%33%
Republican 25-30%30%
Republican 15-20%16%
Republican 30-35%12%
+5 more

$281 today
$8K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▲ 10 pts

New Jersey Senate Election: Turnout

3M-3.2M45%
3.2M-3.4M33%
3.8M+13%
3.4M-3.6M9%
+5 more

$280 today
$7K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▲ 3 pts

AL-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 30-35%27%
Democrat 35-40%22%
Democrat 25-30%22%
Democrat 40%+12%
+5 more

$279 today
$15K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▼ 2 pts

CT-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 25-30%33%
Democrat 20-25%23%
Democrat 30-35%21%
Democrat 15-20%16%
+5 more

$279 today
$14K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket

KS-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%35%
Republican 20-25%25%
Republican 10-15%20%
Republican 5-10%16%
+4 more

$279 today
$9K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▼ 5 pts

Tennessee Senate Election: Turnout

1.8M-2M38%
2M-2.2M35%
2.2M-2.4M16%
2.4M-2.6M10%
+3 more

$278 today
$13K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▲ 3 pts

FL-19 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%39%
Republican 15-20%30%
Republican 10-15%17%
Republican 25-30%12%
+5 more

$277 today
$12K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▲ 1 pts

Texas Senate Election: Tarrant County Winner

James Talarico (D)98%
Ken Paxton (R)2%

$276 today
$13K all time · ends Nov 3, 2026

Polymarket▼ 2 pts

TX-29 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 40-45%22%
Democrat 50-55%19%
Democrat 35-40%18%
Democrat 45-50%14%
+6 more

$274 today
$6K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▼ 3 pts

Oregon Senate Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 30-35%28%
Democrat 20-25%25%
Democrat 25-30%23%
Democrat 15-20%19%
+5 more

$273 today
$4K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▼ 0 pts

Which Dems will underperform Kamala?

Tina Kotek: OR-Gov93%
Troy Jackson: ME-Sen61%
Kathy Hochul: NY-Gov49%
Peggy Flanagan: MN-Sen47%
+5 more

$272 today
$7K all time · ends Nov 3, 2026

Polymarket▲ 5 pts

North Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory

Cooper 9-12%25%
Cooper 3-6%22%
Cooper 6-9%19%
Cooper 0-3%16%
+6 more

$270 today
$13K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▼ 0 pts

VA-10 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 25-30%27%
Democrat 20-25%25%
Democrat 15-20%20%
Democrat 30%+17%
+4 more

$269 today
$9K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Polymarket▲ 5 pts

TN-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 5-10%33%
Republican 10-15%32%
Republican 15-20%15%
Republican 0-5%7%
+4 more

$267 today
$9K all time · ends Nov 4, 2026

Where the money is today

Other elections