Kalshi
Montana Senate margin of victory
In 2026
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Alme, 5+ pts at 78%, ahead of Alme, 10+ pts at 56%. $631 traded in the last 24 hours, $2K in all.
- Favorite
- Alme, 5+ pts 78%
- 24 hours
- up 7 pts
- Traded today
- $631
- Traded in all
- $2K
- Closes
- November 3, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 8)
- Alme, 5+ pts78%▲ 7
- Alme, 10+ pts56%▼ 4
- Alme, 15+ pts32%▲ 15
- Alme, 25+ pts9%
- Alme, 20+ pts6%
- Alme, 30+ pts3%
2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%3:46 AM3:46 PM3:46 AM78% Alme, 5+ pts
The line follows the current favorite, Alme, 5+ pts. One reading an hour.
Embed these odds on your site
Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.
More more politics markets
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?December 31 3%
- Maine-Texas Senate ComboJames Talarico and Troy Jackson 45%
- How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?230-233 18%
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/28 - 10/4)Above 150 96%
- Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?30%
- Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?September 30 97%
- Michigan Senate winner? (Person)Abdul El-Sayed 73%
- How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?Above 52 35%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
