Kalshi

Nevada's 4th District margin of victory

Nevada's 4th District

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Horsford, 1+ pts at 95%, ahead of Horsford, 4+ pts at 91%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $12K in all.

Favorite
Horsford, 1+ pts 95%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$0
Traded in all
$12K
Closes
November 3, 2027

Every outcome (top 6 of 9)

  1. Horsford, 1+ pts95%
  2. Horsford, 4+ pts91%
  3. Horsford, 7+ pts83%
  4. Horsford, 10+ pts74%
  5. Horsford, 13+ pts61%
  6. Horsford, 16+ pts48%

3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%6:04 AM6:04 PM6:04 AM95% Horsford, 1+ pts

The line follows the current favorite, Horsford, 1+ pts. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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