Kalshi
New Jersey's 4th District margin of victory
New Jersey's 4th District
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Smith, 13+ pts at 92%, ahead of Smith, 16+ pts at 80%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $6 in all.
- Favorite
- Smith, 13+ pts 92%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $6
- Closes
- November 3, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 9)
- Smith, 13+ pts92%
- Smith, 16+ pts80%
- Smith, 19+ pts70%
- Smith, 22+ pts60%
- Smith, 25+ pts50%
- Smith, 28+ pts40%
3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%3:44 AM3:44 PM3:44 AM92% Smith, 13+ pts
The line follows the current favorite, Smith, 13+ pts. One reading an hour.
Embed these odds on your site
Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.
More more politics markets
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?December 31 3%
- Maine-Texas Senate ComboJames Talarico and Troy Jackson 45%
- How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?230-233 18%
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/28 - 10/4)Above 150 96%
- Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?30%
- Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?September 30 97%
- Michigan Senate winner? (Person)Abdul El-Sayed 73%
- How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?Above 52 35%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
