Kalshi
New York's 4th District margin of victory
New York's 4th District
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Gillen, 3+ pts at 87%, ahead of Gillen, 6+ pts at 79%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $5K in all.
- Favorite
- Gillen, 3+ pts 87%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $5K
- Closes
- November 3, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 8)
- Gillen, 3+ pts87%
- Gillen, 6+ pts79%
- Gillen, 9+ pts74%
- Gillen, 12+ pts52%
- Gillen, 15+ pts39%
- Gillen, 18+ pts31%
2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%2:47 PM2:47 AM2:47 PM87% Gillen, 3+ pts
The line follows the current favorite, Gillen, 3+ pts. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.