Kalshi

New York's 4th District margin of victory

New York's 4th District

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Gillen, 3+ pts at 87%, ahead of Gillen, 6+ pts at 79%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $5K in all.

Favorite
Gillen, 3+ pts 87%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$0
Traded in all
$5K
Closes
November 3, 2027

Every outcome (top 6 of 8)

  1. Gillen, 3+ pts87%
  2. Gillen, 6+ pts79%
  3. Gillen, 9+ pts74%
  4. Gillen, 12+ pts52%
  5. Gillen, 15+ pts39%
  6. Gillen, 18+ pts31%

2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%2:47 PM2:47 AM2:47 PM87% Gillen, 3+ pts

The line follows the current favorite, Gillen, 3+ pts. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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