Kalshi
Oregon Senate margin of victory
On November 3, 2026
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Merkley, 13+ pts at 91%, ahead of Merkley, 15+ pts at 82%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $1K in all.
- Favorite
- Merkley, 13+ pts 91%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $1K
- Closes
- November 3, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 11)
- Merkley, 13+ pts91%
- Merkley, 15+ pts82%
- Merkley, 17+ pts72%
- Merkley, 19+ pts68%
- Merkley, 21+ pts66%
- Merkley, 23+ pts55%
5 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%10:32 AM10:32 PM10:32 AM91% Merkley, 13+ pts
The line follows the current favorite, Merkley, 13+ pts. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
