Kalshi
Texas Senate: Exact outcome
Before Jan 2027
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Talarico defeats Paxton at 65%, ahead of Paxton defeats Talarico at 37%. $829 traded in the last 24 hours, $317K in all.
- Favorite
- Talarico defeats Paxton 65%
- 24 hours
- down 2 pts
- Traded today
- $829
- Traded in all
- $317K
- Closes
- January 3, 2028
Every outcome
- Talarico defeats Paxton65%▼ 2
- Paxton defeats Talarico37%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%2:41 AM2:41 PM2:41 AM65% Talarico defeats Paxton
The line follows the current favorite, Talarico defeats Paxton. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
