Kalshi
Texas Senate margin of victory
On November 3, 2026
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor James Talarico, 1+ pts at 62%, ahead of James Talarico, 3+ pts at 43%. $8K traded in the last 24 hours, $255K in all.
- Favorite
- James Talarico, 1+ pts 62%
- 24 hours
- up 1 pts
- Traded today
- $8K
- Traded in all
- $255K
- Closes
- November 3, 2027
Every outcome
- James Talarico, 1+ pts62%▲ 1
- James Talarico, 3+ pts43%
- James Talarico, 5+ pts27%▲ 1
- James Talarico, 7+ pts14%
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%7:09 AM7:09 PM7:09 AM62% James Talarico, 1+ pts
The line follows the current favorite, James Talarico, 1+ pts. One reading an hour.
Embed these odds on your site
Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.
More more politics markets
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?December 31 3%
- Maine-Texas Senate ComboJames Talarico and Troy Jackson 45%
- How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?230-233 18%
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/28 - 10/4)Above 150 96%
- Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?30%
- How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?Above 52 35%
- Michigan Senate winner? (Person)Abdul El-Sayed 73%
- Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 9, 2026?James Talarico 85%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
