Kalshi
Texas Senate margin of victory
On November 3, 2026
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Ken Paxton, 1+ pts at 31%, ahead of Ken Paxton, 3+ pts at 20%. $5K traded in the last 24 hours, $320K in all.
- Favorite
- Ken Paxton, 1+ pts 31%
- 24 hours
- down 2 pts
- Traded today
- $5K
- Traded in all
- $320K
- Closes
- November 3, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 7)
- Ken Paxton, 1+ pts31%▼ 2
- Ken Paxton, 3+ pts20%
- Ken Paxton, 5+ pts10%▼ 2
- Ken Paxton, 7+ pts8%▼ 1
- Ken Paxton, 9+ pts6%▲ 3
- Ken Paxton, 13+ pts4%
1 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%2:48 AM2:48 PM2:48 AM31% Ken Paxton, 1+ pts
The line follows the current favorite, Ken Paxton, 1+ pts. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
