Kalshi
Washington's 5th District margin of victory
Washington's 5th District
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Baumgartner, 2+ pts at 73%, ahead of Baumgartner, 5+ pts at 59%. $200 traded in the last 24 hours, $413 in all.
- Favorite
- Baumgartner, 2+ pts 73%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $200
- Traded in all
- $413
- Closes
- November 3, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 8)
- Baumgartner, 2+ pts73%
- Baumgartner, 5+ pts59%
- Baumgartner, 8+ pts52%
- Baumgartner, 11+ pts43%
- Baumgartner, 14+ pts35%
- Baumgartner, 17+ pts26%
2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%5:28 AM5:28 PM5:28 AM73% Baumgartner, 2+ pts
The line follows the current favorite, Baumgartner, 2+ pts. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
