Kalshi

When will the Knesset approve a new government?

Israeli government formation

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Before Feb 3, 2027 at 80%, ahead of Before Jan 20, 2027 at 66%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $1K in all.

Favorite
Before Feb 3, 2027 80%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$0
Traded in all
$1K
Closes
December 23, 2026

Every outcome

  1. Before Feb 3, 202780%
  2. Before Jan 20, 202766%
  3. Before Dec 23, 202624%

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%5:25 AM5:25 PM5:25 AM80% Before Feb 3, 2027

The line follows the current favorite, Before Feb 3, 2027. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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