Kalshi
Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026?
Before Jan 4, 2027
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Tina Kotek at 95%, ahead of Troy Jackson at 83%. $255 traded in the last 24 hours, $38K in all.
- Favorite
- Tina Kotek 95%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $255
- Traded in all
- $38K
- Closes
- January 4, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 9)
- Tina Kotek95%
- Troy Jackson83%▼ 3
- Peggy Flanagan40%
- Keisha Lance Bottoms37%
- Kathy Hochul34%▲ 9
- Angie Nixon28%
3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%2:40 AM2:40 PM2:40 AM95% Tina Kotek
The line follows the current favorite, Tina Kotek. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
