Kalshi
Which Senators will vote for Kari Lake?
Before 2028
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Rand Paul at 43%, ahead of Lisa Murkowski at 29%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $37K in all.
- Favorite
- Rand Paul 43%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $37K
- Closes
- January 1, 2028
Every outcome (top 6 of 8)
- Rand Paul43%
- Lisa Murkowski29%
- Bill Cassidy28%
- Susan Collins22%
- Mitch McConnell19%
- Thom Tillis8%
2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%7:42 AM7:42 PM7:42 AM43% Rand Paul
The line follows the current favorite, Rand Paul. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.