Kalshi

Which Senators will vote for Kari Lake?

Before 2028

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Rand Paul at 43%, ahead of Lisa Murkowski at 29%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $37K in all.

Favorite
Rand Paul 43%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$0
Traded in all
$37K
Closes
January 1, 2028

Every outcome (top 6 of 8)

  1. Rand Paul43%
  2. Lisa Murkowski29%
  3. Bill Cassidy28%
  4. Susan Collins22%
  5. Mitch McConnell19%
  6. Thom Tillis8%

2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%7:42 AM7:42 PM7:42 AM43% Rand Paul

The line follows the current favorite, Rand Paul. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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