Kalshi
Which states will Democrats win a trifecta in 2026?
On Nov 3, 2026
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Minnesota at 81%, ahead of Arizona at 72%. $717 traded in the last 24 hours, $6K in all.
- Favorite
- Minnesota 81%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $717
- Traded in all
- $6K
- Closes
- November 3, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 8)
- Minnesota81%
- Arizona72%▲ 15
- Michigan69%
- Pennsylvania69%▲ 24
- Vermont51%
- Nevada50%
2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%6:16 AM6:16 PM6:16 AM81% Minnesota
The line follows the current favorite, Minnesota. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
