Kalshi
Who will leave office first: RFK Jr., Hegseth, or Patel?
HHS Secretary, Defense Secretary and FBI Director
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Pete Hegseth at 40%, ahead of Kash Patel at 38%. $371 traded in the last 24 hours, $18K in all.
- Favorite
- Pete Hegseth 40%
- 24 hours
- up 46 pts
- Traded today
- $371
- Traded in all
- $18K
- Closes
- January 20, 2029
Every outcome
- Pete Hegseth40%▲ 46
- Kash Patel38%▼ 2
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.28%▲ 8
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%5:58 AM5:58 PM5:58 AM40% Pete Hegseth
The line follows the current favorite, Pete Hegseth. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
