Kalshi

Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?

Before 2027

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor The Netherlands at 9%, ahead of Italy at 8%. $244 traded in the last 24 hours, $99K in all.

Favorite
The Netherlands 9%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$244
Traded in all
$99K
Closes
January 1, 2027

Every outcome (top 6 of 13)

  1. The Netherlands9%
  2. Italy8%▲ 1
  3. New Zealand7%
  4. Japan6%
  5. Germany6%
  6. Austria6%▲ 8

7 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%2:41 AM2:41 PM2:41 AM9% The Netherlands

The line follows the current favorite, The Netherlands. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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