Kalshi
Who will run for public office in 2026?
Before Nov 3, 2026
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Matthew McConaughey at 5%, ahead of Jake Paul at 4%. $4K traded in the last 24 hours, $124K in all.
- Favorite
- Matthew McConaughey 5%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $4K
- Traded in all
- $124K
- Closes
- November 3, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Matthew McConaughey5%
- Jake Paul4%
- Nicki Minaj4%
- Joe Kent4%
- Danica Patrick3%
- Matt Gaetz3%
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%6:04 AM6:04 PM6:04 AM5% Matthew McConaughey
The line follows the current favorite, Matthew McConaughey. One reading an hour.
Embed these odds on your site
Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.
More more politics markets
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?December 31 3%
- Maine-Texas Senate ComboJames Talarico and Troy Jackson 45%
- How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?230-233 18%
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/28 - 10/4)Above 150 96%
- Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?30%
- Michigan Senate winner? (Person)Abdul El-Sayed 73%
- How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?Above 52 35%
- Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 9, 2026?James Talarico 85%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
