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Will a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit?
the operational deployment in Earth orbit of a data center delivering at least 1 megawatt of electrical power to compute hardware on a single spacecraft or a unified co-orbital cluster operating as one compute system, actively processing workloads
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Before Jan 1, 2035 at 39%, ahead of Before Jan 1, 2033 at 30%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $47K in all.
- Favorite
- Before Jan 1, 2035 39%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $47K
- Closes
- January 1, 2028
Every outcome
- Before Jan 1, 203539%
- Before Jan 1, 203330%
- Before Jan 1, 203127%
- Before Jan 1, 203020%
- Before Jan 1, 202916%
- Before Jan 1, 202811%
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%6:07 AM6:07 PM6:07 AM39% Before Jan 1, 2035
The line follows the current favorite, Before Jan 1, 2035. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
