What are Austin Ahlman's chances of winning the 2026 NE-01 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Austin Ahlman a 1% chance (Kalshi 1%).

How much money has Austin Ahlman raised?

Austin Ahlman's campaign has raised $103K and has $30K cash on hand, through July 14, 2026, according to the FEC.

independent · NE

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Austin Ahlman (independent) a 1% chance of winning the 2026 NE-01 House race (Kalshi 1%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 NE-01 House race	1%	1%	—	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through July 14, 2026. $87K from individuals, $0 from PACs, $16K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Austin Lawrence Ahlman →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.