What are Chris Backemeyer's chances of winning the 2026 NE-01 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Chris Backemeyer a 16% chance (Kalshi 17%, Polymarket 14%).

How much money has Chris Backemeyer raised?

Chris Backemeyer's campaign has raised $592K and has $291K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · NE

Chris Backemeyer

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Chris Backemeyer (Democrat) a 16% chance of winning the 2026 NE-01 House race (Kalshi 17%, Polymarket 14%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 NE-01 House race	16%	17%	14%	▲ 3¢

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $592K
Spent: $302K
Cash on hand: $291K
Outside groups for: $106K
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $463K from individuals, $25K from PACs, $104K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Christopher Backemeyer →

Polls

In the 2026 NE-01 House race, the Parlay polling average has Chris Backemeyer at 49% against Mike Flood at 45%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-09-03).

Running against

Mike Flood84%
Austin Ahlman1%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.