What are Mike Flood's chances of winning the 2026 NE-01 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Mike Flood a 84% chance (Kalshi 83%, Polymarket 86%).

How much money has Mike Flood raised?

Mike Flood's campaign has raised $2.4M and has $1.6M cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · NE

Mike Flood

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Mike Flood (Republican) a 84% chance of winning the 2026 NE-01 House race (Kalshi 83%, Polymarket 86%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 NE-01 House race	84%	83%	86%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $2.4M
Spent: $1.0M
Cash on hand: $1.6M
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $106K

Through June 30, 2026. $1.1M from individuals, $1.1M from PACs. FEC filings for Mike Flood →

Polls

In the 2026 NE-01 House race, the Parlay polling average has Mike Flood at 45% against Chris Backemeyer at 49%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-09-03).

Running against

Chris Backemeyer16%
Austin Ahlman1%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.