What are David Roth's chances of winning the 2026 Idaho Senate race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give David Roth a 0% chance (Kalshi 0%).

How much money has David Roth raised?

David Roth's campaign has raised $15K and has $279 cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · ID

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give David Roth (Democrat) a 0% chance of winning the 2026 Idaho Senate race (Kalshi 0%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 Idaho Senate race	0%	0%	—	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through June 30, 2026. $9K from individuals, $400 from PACs, $3K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for David Jordan Roth →

In the 2026 Idaho Senate race, the Parlay polling average has David Roth at 13% against Jim Risch at 43%, from 2 polls (newest ended 2026-07-30).

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.