Republican · ID
Jim Risch
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Jim Risch (Republican) a 94% chance of winning the 2026 Idaho Senate race (Kalshi 92%, Polymarket 95%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Idaho Senate race | 94% | 92% | 95% | ▼ 1¢ |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $3.4M
- Spent
- $2.2M
- Cash on hand
- $3.5M
- Outside groups for
- $0
- Outside groups against
- $0
Through June 30, 2026. $2.1M from individuals, $897K from PACs. FEC filings for James E Risch →
Polls
In the 2026 Idaho Senate race, the Parlay polling average has Jim Risch at 43% against David Roth at 13%, from 2 polls (newest ended 2026-07-30).
Social buzz
20K interactions with posts about Jim Risch in the last 24 hours from 28 people; 56% of posts read as positive, down 33% on last week.
- I'm Todd Achilles and I believe in term limits, age limits, and accountability to Idahoans, not the swamp. I will be on your ballot November 3rd, and I hope I can count on your vote to help me retire Jim Risch. Make sur Achilles for Idaho | U.S. Senate 2026 · tweet
- 🚨GOP VICTORY: Incumbent Jim Risch is forecasted to GUARANTEE his win against Todd Achilles in the Idaho Senate election. Idaho - 2026 Senate (odds) 🟥Jim Risch* 99.7% ⬜️Todd Achilles 0.3% Projected Margin: 🟥R+22.6 Fo Election Time · tweet
- 🚨AVALANCHE VICTORY: Three-term incumbent Jim Risch is on track to win his reelection in Idaho's Senate race by a STAGGERING 25%. Idaho - 2026 Senate 🟥Jim Risch* 49% (+25) ⬜️Todd Achilles 24% See all ID Senate polls @ Election Time · tweet
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
