independent · ID
Todd Achilles
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Todd Achilles (independent) a 6% chance of winning the 2026 Idaho Senate race (Kalshi 7%, Polymarket 5%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Idaho Senate race | 6% | 7% | 5% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $692K
- Spent
- $506K
- Cash on hand
- $194K
- Outside groups for
- $0
- Outside groups against
- $0
Through June 30, 2026. $586K from individuals, $10K from PACs, $11K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Todd Baker Achilles →
Social buzz
40K interactions with posts about Todd Achilles in the last 24 hours from 30 people; 72% of posts read as positive, down 74% on last week.
- I'm Todd Achilles and I believe in term limits, age limits, and accountability to Idahoans, not the swamp. I will be on your ballot November 3rd, and I hope I can count on your vote to help me retire Jim Risch. Make sur Achilles for Idaho | U.S. Senate 2026 · tweet
- In just a few days our friends at Moving America Forward will be canvassing in Idaho and joining a townhall by U.S. Senate candidate Todd Achilles. Calling all Forwardists and beyond to take part if you can! Here’s how. Forward Party · tweet
- Army tank officer. Tech executive. State legislator. Now an independent running for U.S. Senate in Idaho. Todd Achilles has been a Republican, a Democrat, and now neither. He left the Idaho House to take on three-term Se Veterans For Responsible Leadership · tweet
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
- Jim Risch94%
- David Roth0%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
